Paper Conference

Proceedings of Building Simulation 2011: 12th Conference of IBPSA


Short-term Wind Forecasting and Its Impact on the Mix-Mode Operated Buildings

Bing Dong, Xiaoqian Jiang

Abstract: In this paper, we developed a new method to forecast 10minutes ahead wind speed based on Heteroscdastic Gaussian Process and investigated the impacts of this predicting on a mix-mode operated building. The forecasting result shows the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 9.2%. The indoor air temperature, infiltration air change 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 Measured WindSpeed Interpolated WindSpeed rate and cooling energy consumption varied 25% in average compared with the baseline model where the wind speed is not from forecasting. 0 Jul-01 Jul-02 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Time (10 minutes) 40
Pages: 2828 - 2835