Paper Conference

Proceedings of Building Simulation 2021: 17th Conference of IBPSA


Simulation and visualization framework for selecting appropriate urban-scale climate mitigation and adaptation strategies

Justin McCarty, Adam Rysanek
School of Architecture and Landscape Architecture, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada

Abstract: At present mitigation and adaptations strategies compete for constrained resources within a future of uncertain climate impacts. Meeting decarbonisation goals while implementing robust and resilient adaptation strategies requires an analysis structure that can account for uncertainty as well as depict how the intermingling of strategies may hinder or benefit the ultimate trajectory of actions. The marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) is an indispensable tool for planning mitigation pathways, but has historically not relied upon robust experimental analysis making it notional at best nor has it included a view of adaptation pathways. This study utilizes a newly developed, medium-density residential community in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada as a case study for developing a pathway-based MACC. Multiple mitigation and adaptation measures are modeled individually and through exhaustive combination to test their sensitivity on marginal abatement cost and residual cost of climate change. Several visualizations are created to demonstrate several ways of analyzing the resulting large set of data.
Keywords: Urban scale simulation, carbon reduction pathways, embodied carbon
Pages: 997 - 1004