Paper Conference

Proceedings of eSim 2008: 5th Conference of IBPSA-Canada

     

STOCHASTIC / PROBABILISTIC MODELLING OF MULTIPLE ADAPTIVE PROCESSES: SOME SUBTLE COMPLEXITIES

Frédéric Haldi, Darren Robinson

Abstract: The modelling of the adaptation of occupants' personal and environmental characteristics (e.g. use of lights and blinds; use of windows, doors and fans; adjustment of clothing and activity levels) has become a vibrant area of research activity, with several prototype models already available. However, a certain degree of caution should be exercised when using these models. Firstly, many of them are far from complete-being based on a small subset of the family of stimuli which fully describe the adaptive process in question. Secondly, they tend to focus exclusively on a given process, so that possible interrelationships with other processes are generally ignored i.e. the probability of opening a door may be higher is a window has already been opened. Following a brief review of the state of the art, we present experimental evidence of the non-independence of adaptive processes and propose a more general framework for the development and integration of comprehensive adaptive models.
Pages: 111 - 118
Paper:
esim2008_111_118